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Monday, April 12, 2021

Masters picks, finest odds, sleepers & extra predictions to win 2021 event at Augusta

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This week, the PGA tour shifts its sights to Augusta Nationwide — for my part, the crown jewel of all of them — for the 2021 Masters. The course has bentgrass greens and measures at about 7,475 yards for a par 72. There are a ton of iconic holes, however nothing tops the Amen Nook stretch of 11, 12, and 13. Dustin Johnson, the defending champion, is available in because the betting favourite with +950 odds — understandably so, as he set a event report in 2019.

The sector ought to function 88 golfers taking part in for the enduring inexperienced jacket. In the case of the climate, there are presupposed to be, rain-free, excellent circumstances (fingers crossed). The observe itself is projected to play quick and agency. This yr’s occasion will likely be somewhat completely different than final yr, as followers will likely be allowed again at a restricted capability. 

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Per Rick Gehman, the 2 most correlated stats that result in success at this occasion are “Driving Distance” and “Strokes Gained: Complete.”

Betting on golf at all times appears to come back all the way down to the wire, which is why I’ve change into hooked. I’ve a sense that is going to be a traditional, so I can’t wait. Let’s dig in and see if we are able to win some cash this week.

In the case of my betting picks under, you will not discover something too groundbreaking, however apart from digging into the info on the RickRunGood.com database, I attempt to search for guys at stable values who’ve had previous success on the explicit course and/or gamers who’re trending in the correct path coming into the occasion. 

MORE BETQL: Top six Masters prop bets

Masters picks, predictions 2021

*Odds through DraftKings Sportsbook

Finest bets to win outright

I completely love Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth, however historical past says profitable this event back-to-back (DJ) and profitable two consecutive weeks (Spieth) are simply robust to do. So, I’m going with just a few different guys this week.

Patrick Cantlay +2050

I see worth on Cantlay at this quantity. He’s stable at each side of his sport and has been probably the greatest gamers within the sport over the previous six months. His “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-green” numbers are higher than everybody else’s, and his lengthy iron play is second to none. He is additionally had previous success at this course, ending tied for ninth and seventeenth in his previous two journeys.

Cantlay is also within the prime 5 of the RickRunGood Tournament Predictor. Guys that pop up on the prime of his mannequin simulations at all times are typically within the combine come Sunday. It’s not the tip all be all, but it surely’s one other software to make the most of when making an attempt to slender down the cardboard. At this value, he’s one in every of my favourite bets of the weekend.

Patrick Reed +3500

Getting 35-1 odds for a former champion is juicy. He received the Farmers Insurance coverage Open earlier this yr, as nicely. Reed is a kind of guys that will get up for these sorts of occasions, and I’m certain he’s going to be coming in with a chip on his shoulder figuring out that not many are choosing him to win. The one huge metric his sport is missing proper now could be “Driving Distance,” however hopefully he’ll be capable of make up for it together with his sturdy placing sport and iron play.

Finest sleeper/long-shot picks

I’m searching for guys who’re longer than 35-1 odds for this part. These guys are studs in their very own proper, so it’s form of loopy to name them lengthy photographs, however for this part, they serve their goal. If any of them are within the combine come Sunday, I’ll presumably attempt to reside guess and hedge somewhat to ensure I pocket some pizza cash.

Matt Fitzpatrick +4000

Fitzpatrick has been one of the constant gamers on Tour this season with 4 top-11 finishes. He’s driving the ball higher and additional, and he additionally ranks fourth among the many area in “Strokes Gained: Complete.” These are two of the massive metrics that often name for fulfillment at this event, so at 40-1, I can’t resist. He additionally has a top-10 end right here up to now, which is the icing on the cake for me.

Will Zalatoris +7500

Zalatoris, the younger phenom, is without doubt one of the leaders in “Strokes Gained: Complete” and has performed stable golf all season lengthy. He is additionally prime 20 in “Driving Distance,” which is huge right here. The problem is expertise. Like Collin Morikawa final yr, regardless of how nicely you’re taking part in, this course takes some studying to beat. However at these odds, he’s price a small sprinkle.

Talking of Morikawa, I guess him some time in the past at +3000 pondering I’d get a greater quantity. Sadly for me, his odds sit across the similar value at the moment. I nonetheless suppose it’s a superb time to purchase excessive on him, as I really like the child and his iron play. His feedback this week appeared to point that he discovered rather a lot from his expertise final yr, which will likely be a giant enhance for him come this week.

I additionally took a small nibble of Brooks Koepka at +3000. Every little thing signifies he’s going to play, however he’s nonetheless getting back from knee surgical procedure, so who is aware of? There’s simply one thing about him and large occasions, although. He has that particular potential to rise to the event, so I will take the bait. I’m already splurging this week, so what’s a pair extra bucks? It’s Masters week, so let’s take pleasure in it.

There you’ve gotten it. Hope you guys can take pleasure in this prestigious occasion and win some cash on it on the similar time.

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