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Monday, April 12, 2021

Masters DFS picks 2021: PGA DFS lineup recommendation, sleepers & suggestions for DraftKings, FanDuel

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Didn’t we simply do that a couple of months in the past?  Belief me, I am not complaining about seeing Augusta Nationwide greater than as soon as in a 12-month interval. In my thoughts, The Masters is the Tremendous Bowl of the PGA Tour season, and as Jim Nantz likes to say, “it’s a convention in contrast to some other.” It additionally presents a number of the best and enjoyable DFS golf alternatives you may discover all yr.

You’ll be able to principally ignore the entire amateurs and the outdated timers taking part in this weekend. It’s all in regards to the 50 gamers who’ve a reputable probability to win this weekend. My job is to offer you the golfers I really feel have the most effective mixture of value, possession, and stage of play that will help you win come Sunday. It’s at all times extraordinarily troublesome to slim down my DFS Playbook to those choose few, particularly from the highest tier. I would not fault you when you performed anybody priced $9,000 and up.

MASTERS BETTING: Best bets, sleepers | Top props

I say this each time the Masters rolls round, but it surely actually is a singular occasion that each fan of the game appears ahead to. Rising up, there have been few issues I loved greater than watching Sunday at Augusta with my dad. The Masters additionally formally signifies the beginning of the golf season, which implies dusting off the outdated golf equipment and getting out to the driving vary.

PGA DFS technique for Masters 2021

If you speak about Augusta Nationwide, I don’t actually need to enter a lot element as a result of it is probably the most well-known programs on this planet.  It’s a par 72 that measures out to between 7,400 and seven,500 yards relying on the each day setup. This course could be very troublesome and true check of a golfer’s sport. There are very lengthy par 4s and reachable par 5s. The greens are at all times the quickest on tour and laborious for these gamers to stay due to the shave edges. For the reason that course was lengthened in 2010, we have seen a majority of 300-yard bombers profitable or ending within the high 10, however there are exceptions to each rule, specifically Charl Schwartzel, Danny Willett, Jordan Spieth, and Patrick Reed. When wanting over the course historical past, good “Greens in regulation” numbers have been discovered to be very useful to success at Augusta.

Augusta Nationwide will at all times be referred to as a second-shot course. Meaning our favourite stat comes again into play this weekend: “Strokes Gained: Strategy.” Meaning concentrating on nice lengthy iron gamers, aka ball strikers. Tiger Woods may be probably the most excellent iron participant ever, and that’s why he has 5 inexperienced jackets hanging in his closet. It’s the one method to rating on this course, placing your self in as many birdie-making alternatives as attainable. Tiger was additionally the most effective scrambler within the historical past of the sport, which places that into my key stats of the week.        

Course historical past is vitally essential relating to the Masters, even when it is only one earlier journey like we noticed with Danny Willett and Jordan Spieth over the previous few years. No participant has gained at Augusta on their first try since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979. If you take a look at the top-20 leaderboard from again in November, you’ll see a variety of gamers with expertise. Thaht mentioned, we did additionally see a couple of first-timers, equivalent to Sungjae Im, C.T. Pan, and Cameron Champ slip into the combination. 

I’ll as soon as once more not put Bryson DeChambeau into my Playbook. I do know all about his expertise and success just lately, however he’ll try and overpower Augusta and I simply don’t assume that may occur. He could have a superb spherical or two, however I don’t assume he can do it for 4 days. Be at liberty to roster him as a lot as you want to, I am going to have restricted shares personally — and you’ll name me an Augusta purest — however I wish to see it work earlier than I consider. 

Lastly, the climate at all times performs an element at Augusta as a result of it’s recognized for altering on a whim. We’re seeing rain within the forecast on Friday and Saturday. The temperatures will likely be within the excessive 70s and low 80s with humidity ranges about 50 % all through the weekend.   

Strokes Gained: Strategy
Strokes Gained: Placing
Greens in Regulation
Par 5 Birdie or Higher

ONE-AND-DONE PICK: Jordan Spieth (In case you are afraid of his possession in your league, I might additionally advocate Patrick Cantlay)

Masters DFS picks

The next is a preview of Fantasy Alarm’s PGA DFS Playbook. To have entry to all of Fantasy Alarm’s PGA DFS tools, together with full evaluation, pattern lineups, and extra, get Playbook PRO

Dustin Johnson: I’ve been going forwards and backwards on this all week. He didn’t look nice in his final three begins on the WGC-Workday, The Gamers, or the WGC-Match Play, then selected to not play on the Valero. I believe the Valero skip was extra for him to get himself proper earlier than the Masters. I believe the reigning champ will get ignored because of these issues, however I will play him, particularly with as a lot worth as there may be on this subject. I haven’t got to provide the stats so that you can understand how good he’s.

Jordan Spieth: What can I say about Spieth? He lastly made me a believer — and I believe a variety of different folks, too. It has been so laborious for me to determine what his possession stage will likely be this weekend. My first thought since he is coming off of a win and such a terrific begin to the season (5 top-10 finishes in his previous seven begins) is that his possession will likely be by means of the roof. However then there may be many considering that he put all that effort into profitable final week, so he may be drained like what occurred to Scottie Scheffler final weekend. I will play him as a result of even when he’s extremely owned, I am going to ensure to get some decrease owned guys to differenetiate. The stats communicate for themselves this season, as he ranks seventeenth in “Strokes Gained: Across the Inexperienced,” “twenty third in Strokes Gained: Strategy,” and thirty fifth in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced.”

Matthew Fitzpatrick: Fitzpatrick has had a unbelievable begin to the 2021 season. For the reason that Genesis Open in mid-February, he’s completed fifth, eleventh, tenth, ninth, and 18th. This will likely be his six journey to Augusta, and he has but to overlook the lower in his 5 journeys prior. He scored a top-10 end in his first journey the Masters again in 2016, however he has just one top-25 end since. He is twenty fourth in “Strokes Gained: Off The Tee,” “twenty fifth in Strokes Gained: Placing,” twenty seventh in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced,” and thirty eighth in “Strokes Gained: Across the Inexperienced.” That makes for a imply mixture at Augusta Nationwide.

Si Woo Kim: Kim at all times makes for a unbelievable match play due to his boom-or-bust nature. It has been extra of the identical this season with a win on the American Categorical and a missed lower in three of his subsequent 4 begins. He then completed ninth at The Gamers and twenty third on the Valero final week. In his previous three appearances on the Masters, he has two top-25 finishes. I can not consider he is nonetheless simply 25. He at the moment ranks twenty second in “Strokes Gained: Across the Inexperienced,” thirty eighth in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced,” and thirty seventh in “Strokes Gained: Complete.” He’s solely a GPP play for me however a darn good one.

Will Zalatoris: Zalatoris will likely be extremely owned this week, I am telling you proper now. Everybody has observed what he is executed in such a short while on the PGA Tour, and his price ticket is superb for his ability stage. He has made a grand whole of 14 begins of the PGA Tour since his debut on the U.S. Open. He solely has one missed lower and two finishes larger than thirtieth. The remainder of his finishes embody 4 high 10s, three high 20s, and one other three high 30s in his quick professional profession. The dude completed sixth in his first main begin. This 24-year-old Wake Forest alum ranks fourth in “Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Inexperienced,” fifth in “Strokes Gained: Strategy,” and twenty sixth in “Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee.” There may be nothing this child cannot do on the golf course.

Brian Harman: This Georgia boy is aware of all too effectively the significance and which means of profitable the Masters. Harman has not missed a lower in 2021, posting three top-10 finishes. That features top-five finishes his previous two outings (third at The Gamers and fifth on the WGC-Match Play). If you look over the traits, gamers who’ve success main into Masters have often fared higher. He’s additionally one of many higher putters on the PGA Tour, rating twenty first in “Strokes Gained: Placing,” and everyone knows the significance of that ability at Augusta. I like this Goergia Bulldog to garner consideration all through the weekend.

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