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Monday, April 12, 2021

Baylor vs. Houston odds, picks, predictions for March Insanity Last 4 recreation

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Two faculties that haven’t been within the Last 4 since earlier than the beginning of the NCAA Match expanded period in 1985 are again within the highlight this yr.

No. 1 Baylor will meet No. 2 Houston in a Last 4 nationwide semifinal on Saturday. Tipoff might be at 5 p.m. or 8:30 p.m. ET at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The sport might be televised by CBS.

Baylor (26-2) gained the South Area beneath coach Scott Drew with an 81-72 victory over Arkansas within the area closing. The Bears are within the Last 4 for the primary time since 1950. Jared Butler, MaCio Teague and Davion Mitchell proceed to hold Baylor by its match run.

Houston (28-3), the Midwest Area champion, is within the Last 4 for the primary time for the reason that Phi Slama Jama heyday of 1982-84. Coach Kevin Sampson returns to the Last 4 for the primary time since 2002. Quentin Grimes and Marcus Sasser mixed for 9 3-pointers within the Cougars’ 67-61 victory over Oregon State within the Elite Eight.

Here is every little thing to find out about betting on Baylor vs. Arkansas within the 2021 NCAA Match, together with up to date odds, developments and our prediction for the Last 4 recreation.

MORE MARCH MADNESS: Live scores | Updated bracket | TV schedule

Baylor vs. Houston odds

  • Unfold: Baylor (-5)
  • Over/beneath: 135.5
  • Moneyline: Baylor -210, Houston +176

Three betting developments to look at

— Baylor is 19-10 ATS this season. The Bears are 8-3 ATS when favored by fewer than 10 factors.

— Baylor is 9-3 ATS and 12-0 S/U in nonconference video games.

— Houston is 20-11 ATS this season and 11-0 S/U in nonconference video games. That is the Cougars’ first recreation as an underdog this season.

Last 4 historical past

Houston is making its sixth Last 4 look. The Cougars reached the NCAA championship recreation in 1983 and 1984 with groups led by Hakeem Olajuwon and Clyde Drexler. Baylor made Last 4 appearances in 1948 and 1950. Kentucky beat the Bears 58-42 within the 1948 nationwide championship recreation.

Baylor key gamers

Butler (16.5 factors per recreation), Teague (15.9 ppg) and Mitchell (14.0 ppg) carry the scoring load for the Bears, and the upperclassmen additionally mix for near 12 assists per recreation. Baylor has a deep core of function gamers, too, together with Adam Flagler (9.0 ppg), Matthew Mayer (8.2 ppg), Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua (6.3 ppg), Mark Important (5.7 ppg) and Flo Thamba (3.6 ppg). That eight-man rotation is meshing on the proper time.

Houston key gamers

Junior guard Quentin Grimes averages 18.0 factors and 6.0 rebounds per recreation. He’s 17 of 39 (43.6 p.c) from 3-point vary within the NCAA Match. Sasser averages 13.3 factors as a part of the Cougars’ dynamic backcourt, and senior Dejon Jarreau contributes 10.8 factors and 5.4 rebounds per recreation. Justin Gorham (8.6 ppg, 8.6 rpg) is the lead put up participant

Finest particular person matchup: Grimes vs. Mitchell

This has turn into a theme for Baylor all through the season. Mitchell is a stopper — the Massive 12 Defensive Participant of the Yr. The Bears’ protection struggled within the first half in opposition to Arkansas when Mitchell picked up three first-half fouls. Grimes has only one recreation with 10 or extra free throws this season, and he can’t accept 3-point pictures with Mitchell on the perimeter.

Baylor vs. Houston stat to know

Each groups have defended the 3-point line nicely all through the match. Houston’s 4 opponents have shot 24 of 80 (30 p.c) from there. Baylor has restricted opponents to 19-of-72 capturing (26.4 p.c) from 3-point vary. If that pattern continues, then fast-break factors and half-court execution will make the distinction on each side.

Get to know . . . MaCio Teague

Teague, a senior who started his profession at UNC-Asheville, has emerged as one of many feel-good tales of the match. He failed to attain in double figures in back-to-back video games for the primary time this season within the second- and third-round video games in opposition to Villanova and Wisconsin, however he bounced again with 22 factors in opposition to Arkansas. Teague is Baylor’s second-best free-throw shooter at 85.9 p.c. On a stage the place that issues, he might be a key participant within the closing minutes.

Baylor vs. Houston prediction

The colleges have a historical past that dates to their Southwest Convention days, and the Cougars have a 38-15 benefit within the collection. The groups haven’t met since 2003, nonetheless, and the dueling Last 4 droughts ought to add to the depth. Each groups can win with their protection, and that might result in some tough capturing within the first half. Search for each groups to settle in throughout a decent second half, however Baylor’s backcourt (and depth) might be a difference-maker. The Bears make the most of second-chance factors and make clutch free throws down the stretch.

Last rating: Baylor 73, Houston 67

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